What is ISO/TS 31050?

ISO/TS 31050 is a technical specification that gives organisations structured guidance for managing emerging risks: threats that are still forming and cannot yet be measured with confidence. It extends the ISO 31000 risk management standard into territory that conventional risk methods handle poorly, from detecting weak signals to treating risks whose probability and impact are still unclear.

ISO/TS 31050 is an international technical specification, published by ISO to help organisations identify, assess and treat emerging risks. A technical specification sits alongside a full standard and carries authoritative guidance, and this one was written to extend ISO 31000, the core risk management standard, rather than to replace any part of it.

The subject it addresses is a specific category of risk. Emerging risks are those that are developing but not yet well understood, where there is little or no historical data to draw on and the usual measures of likelihood and impact do not yet apply. Generative AI, climate volatility and fast-moving regulation are current examples, and they tend to slip through risk processes designed around known, quantifiable threats.

ISO/TS 31050 gives risk teams a structured way to work with that uncertainty. It sets out how to establish scope, context and criteria specific to emerging risks, how to detect weak signals, how to assess a risk by its uncertainty, velocity and potential impact, and how to select a proportionate treatment before the risk is fully formed. It also introduces the risk intelligence cycle, a continuous method for turning external signals into decisions leadership can act on.

For risk, resilience and governance professionals, the specification matters because boards increasingly expect a credible account of exposure to risks that cannot be neatly quantified. The PECB ISO/TS 31050 Emerging Risks Manager certification is built on this specification, and it trains people to apply its guidance inside an existing ISO 31000 process rather than treat emerging risk as a separate discipline.

Related Information

  • A technical specification that extends ISO 31000
  • Focuses on emerging risks: developing, uncertain, little historical data
  • Covers scope, weak-signal detection, assessment, treatment, monitoring
  • Introduces the risk intelligence cycle
  • Basis for the PECB Emerging Risks Manager certification

People come to 31050 expecting a whole new discipline. It is really a way to handle the risks your existing process was already quietly dropping.

Henri HAENNI
Henri HAENNI

ISO 22301 Lead Implementer • ISO 22301 Lead Auditor

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